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  • Read the climate handbook
    A journey through the workings of our climate and the patterns that are beginning to change.
    Part 1: Heat
    1 . 0 Stability
    1 . 1 Planetary balance
    1 . 2 Workings of heat
    1 . 3 A tour of temperature

    Part 2: Water
    2 . 0 Risk
    2 . 1 Workings of water
    2 . 2 Extremes
    2 . 3 A tour of precipitation

    Part 3: Land
    3 . 0 Complexity
    3 . 1 In a wood
    3 . 2 Our inheritance
    3 . 3 A tour of drought

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    Maps that visualize climate outcomes as the earth warms.
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    Explainers What are monsoons and how are they shifting in a warmer world?

    by Sierra Chapin-Keller

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A journey through the workings of our climate and the patterns that are beginning to change.
Read the climate handbook
Part 1: Heat
1 . 0 Stability
1 . 1 Planetary balance
1 . 2 Workings of heat
1 . 3 A tour of temperature

Part 2: Water
2 . 0 Risk
2 . 1 Workings of water
2 . 2 Extremes
2 . 3 A tour of precipitation

Part 3: Land
3 . 0 Complexity
3 . 1 In a wood
3 . 2 Our inheritance
3 . 3 A tour of drought

Maps that visualize climate outcomes as the earth warms.
Learn more
Maps of temperature Maps of precipitation Maps of dryness Other maps
probable-futures-maps-image-for-navigation-menu
Articles, resources, and reflections about climate and culture.
Read Perspectives
Seasonal essays Ideas Profiles Explainers
Explainers What are monsoons and how are they shifting in a warmer world?

by Sierra Chapin-Keller

At Probable Futures, we believe climate action starts with climate literacy.
Learn about us
About us Team Offerings Climate science Editorial practices In the media Contact us
pf_navigation_about-us

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Perspectives Topic

Maps

Latest
Explainers
Mapping extreme heat in Lahore, Pakistan

How to use the Probable Futures map of days above 50°C (122°F)

by Charlotte Venner, Mirey Atallah, Abid Hussainy

Heat Maps
Explainers Ideas Profiles Seasonal essays

Topic

Adaptation Extremes Heat Insurance Maps Markets Risk Tipping points

Author

Mirey Atallah Sierra Chapin-Keller Nabig Chaudhry Phil Duffy Spencer Glendon Abid Hussainy Carolyn Kousky Barney Schauble Alison Smart Probable Futures team Charlotte Venner
Latest
Explainers
Mapping extreme heat in Lahore, Pakistan

How to use the Probable Futures map of days above 50°C (122°F)

by Charlotte Venner, Mirey Atallah, Abid Hussainy

Heat Maps
Profiles
“The United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) began developing its Beat the Heat 50@50 global activation to make heat risk more vivid, actionable, and understandable.”
Amplifying the urgency of urban heat resilience worldwide

UNEP’s 50@50 global activation supports cities in avoiding and limiting exposure to extreme heat

by Sierra Chapin-Keller

Heat Maps Risk
Explainers
Climate models: their strengths and how to use them

Climate models can help us assess future risks

by Charlotte Venner

Maps Risk Tipping points
Ideas
Collection: climate science

Recommended readings on the science behind our offerings

by Charlotte Venner

Maps
Explainers
Mapping wildfire danger days in the Amazon

How to use the Probable Futures map of change in wildfire danger days

by Charlotte Venner

Maps Risk
Explainers
Mapping climate zones in Lebanon

How to use the Probable Futures map of climate zones

by Charlotte Venner

Maps
Explainers
Mapping drought risk in Chiapas, Mexico

How to use the Probable Futures map of likelihood of year-plus drought

by Charlotte Venner

Maps Risk
Explainers
How do we measure climate change?

Degrees of warming tell us how much the earth has warmed since pre-industrial times

by Charlotte Venner

Maps
Explainers
Mapping heat and humidity risk in Miami, Florida

How to use the Probable Futures map of days above 28°C wet-bulb

by Charlotte Venner

Heat Maps Risk
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