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Tipping points

Latest
Ideas
Director’s letter 2026: the long work ahead

What futures can humanity still hope for?

by Alison Smart

Adaptation Tipping points
Explainers Ideas Profiles Seasonal essays

Topic

Adaptation Extremes Heat Insurance Maps Markets Risk Tipping points

Author

Sierra Chapin-Keller Nabig Chaudhry Spencer Glendon Carolyn Kousky Barney Schauble Alison Smart Probable Futures team Charlotte Venner
Latest
Ideas
Director’s letter 2026: the long work ahead

What futures can humanity still hope for?

by Alison Smart

Adaptation Tipping points
Explainers
Climate models: their strengths and how to use them

Climate models can help us assess future risks

by Charlotte Venner

Maps Risk Tipping points
Explainers
What is sea level rise?

The amount of water in the oceans is directly related to the amount of ice on the planet

by Charlotte Venner

Risk Tipping points
Explainers
Mapping wildfire danger days in the Amazon

How to use the Probable Futures map of change in wildfire danger days

by Charlotte Venner

Maps Risk Tipping points
Explainers
What is the Hothouse Earth trajectory?

Here’s what we do and don’t know about this possible warming trajectory

by Charlotte Venner

Heat Tipping points