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  • Read the climate handbook
    A journey through the workings of our climate and the patterns that are beginning to change.
    Part 1: Heat
    1 . 0 Stability
    1 . 1 Planetary balance
    1 . 2 Workings of heat
    1 . 3 A tour of temperature

    Part 2: Water
    2 . 0 Risk
    2 . 1 Workings of water
    2 . 2 Extremes
    2 . 3 A tour of precipitation

    Part 3: Land
    3 . 0 Complexity
    3 . 1 In a wood
    3 . 2 Our inheritance
    3 . 3 A tour of drought

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    Maps that visualize climate outcomes as the earth warms.
    Maps of temperature Maps of precipitation Maps of dryness Other maps
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    Articles, resources, and reflections about climate and culture.
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    Explainers What are monsoons and how are they shifting in a warmer world?

    by Sierra Chapin-Keller

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A journey through the workings of our climate and the patterns that are beginning to change.
Read the climate handbook
Part 1: Heat
1 . 0 Stability
1 . 1 Planetary balance
1 . 2 Workings of heat
1 . 3 A tour of temperature

Part 2: Water
2 . 0 Risk
2 . 1 Workings of water
2 . 2 Extremes
2 . 3 A tour of precipitation

Part 3: Land
3 . 0 Complexity
3 . 1 In a wood
3 . 2 Our inheritance
3 . 3 A tour of drought

Maps that visualize climate outcomes as the earth warms.
Learn more
Maps of temperature Maps of precipitation Maps of dryness Other maps
probable-futures-maps-image-for-navigation-menu
Articles, resources, and reflections about climate and culture.
Read Perspectives
Seasonal essays Ideas Profiles Explainers
Explainers What are monsoons and how are they shifting in a warmer world?

by Sierra Chapin-Keller

At Probable Futures, we believe climate action starts with climate literacy.
Learn about us
About us Team Offerings Climate science Editorial practices In the media Contact us
pf_navigation_about-us

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Perspectives Topic

Maps

Explainers Ideas Profiles Seasonal essays

Topic

Adaptation Extremes Heat Insurance Maps Markets Risk Tipping points

Author

Mirey Atallah Sierra Chapin-Keller Nabig Chaudhry Phil Duffy Spencer Glendon Abid Hussainy Carolyn Kousky Barney Schauble Alison Smart Probable Futures team Charlotte Venner
Explainers
What is a 1-in-100-year storm?

A 1-in-100-year storm has a 1% chance of occurring in any given year

by Charlotte Venner

Extremes Maps Risk
Profiles
“Climate change is impacting our world physically, socially, and economically, and young people are acutely aware of these implications for their generation.”
Designing a climate change course for the next generation

Dr. Meredith Galloway of Westlake Charter School helps students understand climate impacts around the world

by Charlotte Venner

Maps Risk
Profiles
“By overlaying Kontur data with the Probable Futures’s map data, we have been able to add the humanitarian perspective to the impacts of climate change.”
Mapping climate data and humanitarian metrics

Kontur’s Disaster Ninja tool helps communities and first responders better prepare for natural disasters

by Charlotte Venner

Maps Risk
Seasonal essays

December 21, 2020, 5:02 am ET

Solstice greetings: small sounding numbers

by Spencer Glendon

Extremes Maps Risk
Seasonal essays

September 22, 2022, 9:04 pm ET

Equinox greetings: climate and culture

by Spencer Glendon

Maps Risk
Profiles
“Public health and climate intersect, and they’re inextricable.”
Investigating the intersection of public health and climate change

How the Pandemic Tracking Collective visualizes the potential impact of climate change on worldwide pandemic risk

by Charlotte Venner

Maps Risk
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